{"id":22920,"date":"2024-10-28T11:00:03","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T10:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/?p=22920"},"modified":"2024-11-19T15:35:32","modified_gmt":"2024-11-19T14:35:32","slug":"how-to-draft-your-companys-sales-forecast-in-10-steps","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2024\/10\/28\/how-to-draft-your-companys-sales-forecast-in-10-steps\/","title":{"rendered":"How to draft your company\u2019s sales forecast in 10 steps."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>by <a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/about-us\/\">Alberto Aleo<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">November is one of those months when businesses and professionals start getting ready for the upcoming year. Among the most important tasks is undoubtedly the definition of <strong>sales objectives<\/strong>, better known as the <strong>sales forecast<\/strong>. As we clarified in a previous article on <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2018\/01\/15\/sales-forecasts\/\">sales forecasting<\/a><\/strong>, there are various ways of approaching the task. In this new article, however, <span class=\"text-highlight\">we want to suggest one method, comprising 10 vital steps, which will allow you to be more accurate and credible in setting your objectives<\/span> in this period characterized by market turbulence and uncertainty. So, join us in this list of tips&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p5\"><span style=\"font-size: 32px;\">From Sales Forecast to Objective.<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">Here\u2019s a typical scene. A sales director asks their salesperson how much they expect to sell next year, and the salesperson says, &#8220;How would I know? I don\u2019t have a crystal ball!&#8221; First of all, let\u2019s immediately bust the myth that the <strong>sales forecast<\/strong>\u00a0is a <strong>prediction<\/strong> that requires mystical foresight.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"p6\"><span style=\"font-size: 21px;\"><em>The sales forecast must be based on careful analysis of the market, the clients, and our ability to make use of potential opportunities.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<hr \/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-18540 size-full\" title=\"Budget commerciale\" src=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Pianificazione-commerciale-alberto-aleo-alice-alessandri-passodue-cesena.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Pianificazione-commerciale-alberto-aleo-alice-alessandri-passodue-cesena.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Pianificazione-commerciale-alberto-aleo-alice-alessandri-passodue-cesena-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Pianificazione-commerciale-alberto-aleo-alice-alessandri-passodue-cesena-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Pianificazione-commerciale-alberto-aleo-alice-alessandri-passodue-cesena-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Pianificazione-commerciale-alberto-aleo-alice-alessandri-passodue-cesena-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" alt=\"Budget commerciale\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Photo Adobe<\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">Once that is done, depending on what has emerged, <span class=\"text-highlight\">we need to choose the target we want to set for the upcoming year<\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"p6\"><em><span style=\"font-size: 21px;\">This is the true nature of the <span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>sales forecasting<\/strong>:<\/span> to set a goal not just divining the future<span class=\"s2\">!<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">So, let\u2019s have a look at how we can merge the various phases and draft it.<\/span><\/p>\n<ol class=\"ol1\">\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><span class=\"text-highlight\">Get hold of a file containing the <strong>revenue data<\/strong> for every client you manage<\/span>, preferably over the period of <strong>two consecutive years<\/strong>. Next to each figure, you can include the yearly <strong>changes<\/strong> and each client\u2019s contribution to the total revenue, in percentage.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><span class=\"text-highlight\">Now,<strong> remove all clients who<\/strong>, for various reasons, can be considered inactive<\/span>. This could be due to a low level of revenue, <a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2019\/05\/20\/how-to-chase-unpaid-invoices\/\">delayed payments<\/a>, or other reasons that make them less relevant.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><span class=\"text-highlight\">Perform an <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2024\/05\/20\/why-the-pareto-principle-is-so-important-in-marketing\/\">80\/20 analysis<\/a><\/strong><\/span> to understand which clients mainly contribute to your current turnover and identify the main upcoming sales challenges. If you are too focused on a few clients, you\u2019ll need to dedicate more of your time to minor or new clients. If you are very <strong>fragmented<\/strong>, you should instead focus on the top tier of your client portfolio.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">Starting with your most important clients, <span class=\"text-highlight\">analyze the <strong>changes<\/strong> from the previous year<\/span> and think of the reasons behind them. Try to understand if they are <strong>negative or positive trends<\/strong> that are likely to reoccur, which means they should be included in the <strong>sales forecast<\/strong>, or if they are merely exceptional events.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">For each client, <span class=\"text-highlight\">analyze their growth potential<\/span> through the <strong>profiling<\/strong> principles explained in one of our <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2018\/04\/09\/profiling-understand-value\/\">articles<\/a><\/strong> to determine if the client is likely to grow.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><span class=\"text-highlight\">After calculating their potential, compare it to the generated revenue<\/span>. This will result in <strong>four types of clients<\/strong>: those with <strong>low potential and low revenue<\/strong>, those with <strong>high potential and high revenue<\/strong>, those with <strong>high potential but low revenue<\/strong>, and those who <strong>generate significant revenue but have no further potential<\/strong>.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">Based on the results from points 3 and 6, <strong>convert your findings into a figure<\/strong> which will be your objective for that client. This will encourage you to <strong>grow smaller clients<\/strong> with good potential, especially if you <strong>focus<\/strong> on a smaller number of clients. If you\u2019re <strong>fragmented<\/strong>, you\u2019ll instead end up focusing on clients who already <strong>generate significant revenue<\/strong> but still have <strong>untapped growth potential<\/strong>.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><span class=\"text-highlight\"><strong>Time to crunch the numbers<\/strong> and combine all the defined objectives<\/span>. What\u2019s the <strong>total<\/strong>? Is it enough to cover the company\u2019s <strong>required revenue<\/strong>? If not, you\u2019ll need to <strong>add new names<\/strong> to your portfolio by selecting <strong>potential clients<\/strong> you can approach using the tips we\u2019ve provided <a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2016\/10\/17\/new-business\/\">here<\/a>.<span class=\"s1\"><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-18543 size-full\" title=\"Budget commerciale\" src=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Budget-commerciale-alberto-aleo-passodue-cesena.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Budget-commerciale-alberto-aleo-passodue-cesena.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Budget-commerciale-alberto-aleo-passodue-cesena-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Budget-commerciale-alberto-aleo-passodue-cesena-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Budget-commerciale-alberto-aleo-passodue-cesena-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Budget-commerciale-alberto-aleo-passodue-cesena-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" alt=\"Budget commerciale\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/span>Photo UnSplash<\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><span class=\"text-highlight\">On the other hand, if the total figure is enough, move on to <strong>action planning<\/strong><\/span>. You will need to determine which strategies to adopt, especially where you foresee higher growth margins. Will you <strong>need to pay a visit<\/strong><span class=\"s1\">\u00a0<\/span><strong>to certain clients<\/strong> more often or use <a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2022\/04\/26\/up-selling-cross-selling-what-they-are-and-how-to-use-them\/\"><strong>cross-selling and up-selling strategies<\/strong><\/a>? Whatever you decide, don\u2019t forget to define this aspect as well.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"li3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">Finally, <span class=\"text-highlight\"><strong>distribute sub-revenue targets over the course of the year<\/strong><\/span>: by month, quarter, or semester. These will define the <a href=\"https:\/\/diariodiunconsulente.it\/en\/2019\/07\/15\/sales-performance-analysis-lets-start-from-the-bottom\/\"><strong>checkpoints<\/strong><\/a> that will show whether you are actually achieving your objectives. It\u2019s better to <strong>make corrections<\/strong> during the year rather than finding out at the end that you won\u2019t achieve your goal.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Note<\/strong>: We\u2019ve designed these steps for a <strong>salesperson<\/strong> who manages their own clients, but it shouldn\u2019t be hard to adapt them if you manage sales areas, dealerships, or other <strong>distribution channels<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p5\"><span style=\"font-size: 32px;\">From <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 32px;\">Sales Forecast <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 32px;\">to Sales Planning.<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">At this point, it\u2019s clear that the word &#8220;<strong>sales forecast<\/strong>&#8221; carries many meanings which also represent the many <strong>steps<\/strong> involved in defining it. It might be better to just replace the term with &#8220;<strong>sales planning<\/strong>&#8220;, which better represents the true <strong>purpose of this strategic tool<\/strong>, i.e., not only to define expected results in coming years, but to do so by following a clearly defined <strong>process<\/strong> that starts with analysis and leads to <strong>action planning<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px;\">When drafting the<strong> sales forecast<\/strong>, imagine you are coaching a marathon <strong>team<\/strong>. You know that your team will face a race lasting a whole year, and that only at the end of it, they will discover the results of their actions. <span class=\"text-highlight\">If you don\u2019t set a clear final target, you won\u2019t be able to come up with the right <strong>training<\/strong><\/span>. You won\u2019t know if they should pick up the pace or slow down to <strong>save energy<\/strong>. In order to set the right goal, you should observe the team, their historical results, their potential, but also the course, the stages they will sail through, and the challenging ones. Now, apply this concept to sales and start looking at your clients as the team that will lead you to victory!<\/span><\/p>\n<pre>| partem claram semper aspice |<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>November is one of those months when businesses and professionals start getting ready for the upcoming year. Among the most important tasks is undoubtedly the definition of sales objectives, better known as the sales forecast.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":18539,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[97],"tags":[275,246,239,247],"class_list":["post-22920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-commercial-management","tag-commercial","tag-results","tag-sales","tag-strategy","entry","has-media"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v15.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How to draft your company\u2019s sales forecast in 10 steps. &bull; 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